My long-time readers know how I feel about ranked choice voting. It is a voting process pushed by Senator Lisa Murkowski’s assistants that made sure that she was re-elected. It also ensured that Alaska, a state that is two-thirds Republicans, is now represented by a Democrat. I was gratified to see that Fred Lucas at The Daily Signal has investigated ranked choice voting.
Ranked choice voting, in which voters rank
candidates on a ballot rather than choose one, may harm black and Native
American voters disproportionately, according to a new study by a Princeton
University professor.
Minority candidates also may be undercut
by ranked choice voting, said Noan McCarty, a professor of politics and public
affairs at Princeton’s School of Public and International Affairs and vice dean
for academic assessment.
McCarty did the study for the Center for
Election Confidence, previously known as the Lawyers Democracy Fund, which says
it is the first academic study of the subject by a mainstream, nonpartisan
source.
The study determined that with ranked
choice voting, African American voters in New York City and Alaska Natives were
most likely to have their votes disqualified in later rounds of counting at a
higher rate than white voters, diminishing minorities’ electoral influence. “Ballot
exhaustion” is a term used by election watchers to describe a ballot that is
discarded if a voter ranks only candidates who end up being eliminated from
contention.
“It’s not deliberate. This wasn’t a
rationale by the advocates for adopting ranked choice voting,” McCarty told The
Daily Signal. “But there was an indifference by advocates to the history that
runoffs were adopted in some southern states to reduce the influence of
minority votes.”
The study comes ahead of Jan. 23, which
the advocacy group Rank the Vote dubs RCV Day as a way to promote ranked choice
voting nationally.
Ranked choice voting has become among the
most contentious battles in election law in recent years, as several state
legislatures either consider it or ban it.
As of the 2022 elections, the system was
used in a total of 62 jurisdictions, including statewide in Alaska and Maine as
well as New York City, Minneapolis, San Francisco, and Cambridge,
Massachusetts, according to the Ranked Choice Voting Resource Center.
Seven local jurisdictions in California,
more than 20 jurisdictions in Utah, five cities in Minnesota, four cities in
Colorado, three jurisdictions in Massachusetts, two cities in Michigan, and two
jurisdictions in New Mexico use the system for local elections, according to
Rank the Vote.
Kansas and Wyoming use ranked choice
voting in presidential primary elections. In several states, only one city uses
the methods….
The Princeton professor’s study examined
Democrats’ primary in New York City as well as Alaska’s statewide elections.
“I find that exhaustion rates in the NYC
Democratic primaries for executive office were higher in precincts with high
concentrations of minority (black, Asian, and Hispanic) primary voters than
they were in predominantly white precincts,” McCarty says in the report.
He adds: “In the executive office
primaries, the proportion of voters ranking only a single candidate was
generally higher in minority precincts.”
The study found similar results in Alaska’s
statewide races.
“The results in Alaska largely confirm
those of NYC for heavily Alaskan Native precincts,” the study says.
“Their exhaustion rates were higher in all statewide races and for state
legislative races except in the case of the U.S. House election which
featured a co-ethnic winner.” … [Emphasis added.]
Alaskan Natives had no problems with the
election of Mary Peltola to represent Alaska in Congress because she is an
Alaskan Native. She also was the only Democrat on the ballot. The Democrats
took advantage of the voting system and ran only on candidate, while
Republicans had several candidates.
Without ranked choice voting, Lisa Murkowski
would not be re-elected, and Mary Peltola would not be elected – and Alaska and
America would be in a better position.
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