Will the Truce between US, Israel, and Iran Hold?

Over a period of several days, President Donald Trump sent out over Truth Social. The idea behind all the messages was that Iran either opened the Strait of Hormuz to let oil tankers and other sea-going traffic to pass, or Trump would order bombing over Iran enough to destroy a “whole civilization,” or at least destroy all the bridges and power plants in the country.

According to Elizabeth Troutman Mitchell at The Daily Signal, Trump set a firm deadline of 8:00 P.M EDT on Tuesday, April 7, 2026. Either Iran opened Hormuz, or destruction would rain down on Iran. However, negotiators continued to work for a compromise. Iran understood that Trump had said and done “crazy” things before and that terrible things would happen if something did not change by the deadline. 

“We will find out tonight, one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the World,” Trump wrote. “47 years of extortion, corruption, and death, will finally end. God Bless the Great People of Iran!” …

Iran says it would retaliate against U.S. allies in the Gulf, whose desert cities would be uninhabitable without power or water. It claimed to have carried out fresh strikes on a ship in the Gulf and a huge Saudi petrochemical complex.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said in a statement that Tehran would “deprive America and its allies in the region of oil and gas for years.”

“Up to today we have shown great restraint for the sake of good neighbourliness and have had some consideration in choosing targets for retaliation,” it said. “But all these restraints have since been removed.”

However, things changed. Just prior to the arrival of the deadline, Trump announced that a deal had been made. Tyler O’Neil at The Daily Signal reported the news as follows. 

Iran has agreed to open the Strait of Hormuz and the United States and Israel will engage in a two-week ceasefire, President Donald Trump announced Tuesday.

President Trump said that Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir helped him orchestrate the deal.

“Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshall Asim Munir, of Pakistan, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks,” the president wrote. “This will be a double-sided CEASEFIRE!”

“The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East,” he added.

President Trump said the U.S. received a “10 point proposal from Iran” and he said it represents “a workable basis on which to negotiate.”

“Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two-week period will allow the Agreement to be finalized and consummated,” he added….

As the deadline approached, both the U.S. and Israel carried out strikes. The U.S. targeted Kharg Island, and Israel struck eight bridge segments that the Israel Defense Force claimed have been used “for transporting weapons & military equipment.”

Kharg Island, a coral outcrop off Iran’s coast, handles roughly 90% of the country’s crude oil exports, since much of the coastline lacks deep-water ports.

The Strait of Hormuz is a key waterway for the global oil trade. About 25% of world seaborn oil trade transits the straight, according to the International Energy Agency, 80% of it destined for Asia. About 19% of the world’s liquefied natural gas transits the strait, as well.

Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan imported almost two-thirds of their LNG supplies via the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, making them particularly vulnerable to Iran’s actions.

Oil prices fell sharply in late trading as Trump announced the ceasefire. West Texas Intermediate crude, the domestic benchmark, fell by more than 9% to around $102 per barrel, The New York Times reported.

Also earlier Tuesday, Iranian-backed Iraqi militia Kataib Hezbollah announced that it had released Shelly Kittleson, a 49-year-old American journalist who had been kidnapped in Baghdad.

According to staff at the Jerusalem Post, the truce lasted only hours before Iran fired missiles at Israel. 

Iran launched missiles toward Israel early Wednesday morning, hours after US President Donald Trump announced a two-week ceasefire involving the US, Israel, and Iran. Air raid alerts continued in Israel after the truce was announced, raising immediate doubts about whether the arrangement would hold.

Later on Wednesday, the Bahrain Interior Ministry said that air raid sirens were activated across the country following an Iranian attack on its territory.

“The alarm siren has bene activated. Citizens and residents are requested to remain calm, head to the nearest safe place, and follow updates through official channels,” the Bahrain ministry said in a statement.

Later on Wednesday, Bahrain confirmed the attack was carried out by Iran, with the missile causing a fire without leaving anyone wounded.

“Trust but verify” is the watchword. Iran has been deceitful in the past, and no one fully trusts that they are honest currently. It is possible that they asked for the ceasefire to give them an opportunity to rebuild their missile supply. However, it is possible that the currents “leaders” in Iran understand that Trump will bomb Iran into the Dark Ages.