Americans are being fed information every single day. The type of information depends on where you get it from. Brent Buchanan, Founder and CEO of Cygnal, is “recognized as America’s most accurate private pollster for four consecutive election cycles, explained in an article published at The Daily Signal why he believes the information media shares about immigration “feels like propaganda.”
Texas
has accounted for 25% of all ICE arrests since enforcement ramped up. The state
has processed thousands upon thousands of deportations. No riots. No mob
violence against federal officers. No churches stormed during worship services.
Minnesota represents less than 1% of ICE arrests. And Minneapolis is on fire.
How do you explain that gap?
The
answer has nothing to do with immigration policy and everything to do with
where Americans get their information.
What the Polling Actually Shows
At
Cygnal, we recently surveyed voters on whether the Trump administration’s
deportation efforts have gone too far, are about right, or haven’t gone far enough.
The
results: 50% said too far, 48% said about right or not far enough. That’s a
statistical tie. A country split down the middle.
But
if you only consumed legacy media coverage, you’d assume 80% of Americans are
horrified by what’s happening. You’d think the deportation efforts represent
some unprecedented crisis of conscience for the nation.
They
don’t.
Nearly
half the country supports the policy or wants it to go further. You just wouldn’t
know that from watching the evening news.
The
real divide isn’t about what Americans believe. It’s about where they get the
information that shapes those beliefs.
Inside the Information Bubbles
The
data gets interesting when you cross-reference policy views with media
consumption patterns.
Among
voters who believe deportation efforts have gone “too far,” 51% get their news
primarily from national broadcast television: NBC, ABC, CBS. Compare that to
36% of all voters and just 14% of those who think enforcement hasn’t gone far
enough.
The
“too far” crowd also over-indexes on newspaper consumption compared to the
general voter population. These are the legacy media institutions, the ones
that dominated American information for decades.
On
the flip side, voters who believe deportation efforts haven’t gone far enough slightly
over-index on cable news (45% vs. 40% overall) and dramatically over-index on
X, formerly Twitter (16% vs. 9% overall).
The
“about right” middle? They’re slightly more likely to get news from cable and Facebook
than the average voter. No real drastic differences outside the fact [that]
they also don’t get as much of their news from legacy media.
What
emerges is a clear pattern: liberals cluster heavily around broadcast television
and print newspapers, while conservatives spread across cable, social media,
and newer digital platforms.
These
groups are consuming different facts, different story selections, different
framings of what matters … and what doesn’t.
The Amplification Machine
As
said at the beginning, Minnesota represents less than 1% of ICE enforcement
activity, but it’s receiving wall-to-wall national coverage. Every
confrontation, every protest, every dramatic standoff gets the full treatment –
helicopter shots, breathless correspondents, the works.
Texas
is processing 25 times the enforcement activity with minimal national
attention. Why? Because compliance doesn’t generate clicks. Orderly
deportations don’t drive ratings. A state that implements federal policy
without mass unrest isn’t a story anyone wants to tell.
More
importantly, it doesn’t make Trump look bad in their minds like Minneapolis
does.
The
editorial choice to focus on Minnesota is about feeding an existing narrative
to an audience that wants that narrative confirmed, not informing the public….
The
coverage doesn’t just reflect the violence. It incentivizes it.
The Death of Shared Reality
For
most of American history, we argued about policy while agreeing on basic facts.
Democrats and Republicans watched the same evening news, read the same wire
service reports, saw the same footage. They disagreed about what to do, not
about what was happening.
That’s
over….
What’s Actually at Stake
The
Minneapolis situation illustrates the real danger. You have a city tearing
itself apart over enforcement activity that represents a statistical rounding
error nationally. You have activists storming churches, attacking federal
officers, setting fires. And the coverage of that chaos generates more chaos
elsewhere.
Meanwhile,
the state handling a quarter of all enforcement activity does so with minimal
drama….
The
question for us is straightforward: Are you going to let your media diet
determine your reality? Or are you going to actively seek out primary data,
diverse sources, and information that challenges your existing beliefs.
Democracy
requires a shared factual foundation. When half the country thinks we’re in a
humanitarian crisis and half thinks we’re finally enforcing laws that went
ignored for decades – and both sides can cite “evidence” for their position –
we have a collective epistemological breakdown.
The
information bubble doesn’t just [distort] immigration. Everything is distorted.
And the only people who can pop it are the ones willing to step outside their
comfortable media habits and ask what they might be missing.
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